to post- submission evaluation of solutions." Office of Innovation - Office of Naval Research Navy Warfare Development Command (nwdc) Navy Center for Innovation. Ask kids to consider alternative explanations and solutions. How does that essay on my favourite fairy tale make you feel?". Its nice to get the right answer. This is evident in four ways: (a) negative potency (negative entities are stronger than the equivalent positive entities (b) steeper negative gradients (the negativity of negative events grows more rapidly with approach to them in space or time than does the positivity of positive events. This morning, lets think about it as a way of thinking that enables a thinker to think regularly at a higher level (than most people are capable of thinking). Dornburg says the finding that individuals are more successful than groups in computer-mediated brainstorming suggests a time- and cost-saving potential for companies. Quot;s, what information consumes is rather obvious: it consumes the attention of its recipients. They serve to simplify decisionmaking, making it more efficient; but use of these heuristics also can result in inaccurate decisions.
Models discussed: Rational Decision Making Model The Behavioral Model (Bounded Rationality) Bargaining Model Participative Decision Making Model Incremental Model Punctuated Equilibrium Theory Polis Model Garbage Can Model (Multiple or Three Streams Model) Strategic Decision Making Paradigms: A Primer for Senior Leaders ( local copy ). Deliberate practice techniques were applied to develop exercises to train the task of adaptive thinking in tactical situations. "People six word essay project lose the ability to think about the long-term consequences of their actions." Situational Blindness. Conceptualizing Multicultural Perspective Taking Skills ( local copy ), by Rentsch et al, ARI report, Nov 2007 Program Evaluation Metrics for.S. New York: Springer-Verlag (2008) While all decisions are a guess about the future, as complexity builds upon complexity decision-makers must increasingly rely on their intuition and judgment. Dont confine critical thinking to purely factual or academic matters. The technologies required included formal concept analysis for knowledge representation and information operations, Peircean reasoning to support hypothesis generation, Mills canons to begin defining information operators that support the first two technologies and co-evolutionary game theory to provide the environment / domain to assess predictions. Based on this capability and access, the following trends and drivers have the potential to impact emergency management activities: Internet access expansion People as both producers and consumers of information Spontaneous reporting Crowdsourcing Increased emergency management use of the internet and social media Hunting for.